discus the 2012 HOF ballot

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my guess is salmon gets just enough support to stay on and lopez falls a couple percentage pts below the line.

omar (son), Thursday, 29 December 2011 02:28 (ten years ago) link

i have no idea how a single writer could justify a vote for javy lopez.

McGwire, McGriff, Walker and Bernie are all on the bubble for me - and guys like Trammell, Murphy, Gonzalez I'd be willing to hear arguments for.

as poz wrote, the argument for trammell is that he's the exact same player as larkin.

a collection of gruff, big-balled boasts (zachylon), Friday, 30 December 2011 21:23 (ten years ago) link

anyway: Larkin, Bagwell, Raines, Martinez, Trammell, McGwire, Palmeiro, and of course, Orioles legend Javy López.

a collection of gruff, big-balled boasts (zachylon), Friday, 30 December 2011 21:24 (ten years ago) link

Lopez had one spectacular season--think he still hold the single-season slugging record for catchers--and a few good ones, but the only semi-credible argument I can see for him is a rather vague, old-fashioned one: that he was the catcher for a dynasty, and handled one of the greatest starting staffs ever. But no, I don't think anyone should vote for him.

clemenza, Friday, 30 December 2011 21:51 (ten years ago) link

martinez is the only one of these that would make me sad if he didn't get in

t. silaviver, Friday, 30 December 2011 21:53 (ten years ago) link

as poz wrote, the argument for trammell is that he's the exact same player as larkin.

which i do not really agree with.

sir thermo of thinwall, Friday, 30 December 2011 23:48 (ten years ago) link

ok they are very similar.

sir thermo of thinwall, Saturday, 31 December 2011 03:58 (ten years ago) link

Yeah, they're pretty close. Trammell is #1 on Larkin's similarity-score list, Larkin is Trammell's #2. Larkin runs about 10% better in BA/SA/OBP, probably just the difference between having your peak years in the '90s rather than the '80s. Something interesting is that Trammell drew a higher percentage of the MVP vote the year he finished second than Larkin did the year he won.

clemenza, Saturday, 31 December 2011 04:11 (ten years ago) link

i think you might be able to get away with putting Larkin's higher SLG down to the '90s vs '80s thing - but Larkin's OBP being 20 points better isn't something that can be brushed aside as easily imho. i mean, it's not a huge thing, but it's not a negligible difference either.

what jumps out at me is how dominant Barry was as a base runner. 379 career SB and only caught a total of 77 times. the season where he stole over 50 bases - he was only thrown out 5 times!

sir thermo of thinwall, Saturday, 31 December 2011 18:52 (ten years ago) link


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