2012 GOP Presidential Campaign -- "This individual's going to accuse me of an affair for an extended period of time."

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FOR ALFRED:

Newt's Coup de Grace
It is beginning to look likely that Cain will soon bow out of the race. There are only so many lies a man can tell in public, and his previous lies keep requiring him to tell more. Only Palin gets away with that kind of thing. Currently, Cain is at 15 percent. Give much of that to Gingrich - as has been happening so far - and Newt becomes the immediate front-runner, with support in the 40 percent range to Romney's ceiling of 25. That changes the whole dynamic.

Meanwhile, Romney is faltering:

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There are 13 places PPP has polled the Republican race in October or November where it also did a poll sometime between January and March. In those places Romney's net favorability has dropped by an average of 15 points over the course of the year.

On average Romney's favorability with primary voters was 54/25 in these 13 places at the begininng of the year. Now it's only 50/35. His problem is partially that his positives have gone down but more than that it's that as his name recognition has increased, most folks moving off the fence have gone into the negative column.

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I felt the wind behind Romney disappear in the last debate, and re-emerge behind Gingrich. Now Newt gets the Cain Bounce. And Romney may drift lower. No one likes him. And the more they see him, the less they love.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:21 (twelve years ago) link

newt the inevitable.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:21 (twelve years ago) link

let's hope they form a ticket:

NEWTMITT

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:22 (twelve years ago) link

Idle speculation on CNN last night: that Romney will try to enlist Huckabee to give him a boost in Iowa, maybe even offer him VP, even though they both supposedly despise each other. Wouldn't be the first time that happened.

clemenza, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:28 (twelve years ago) link

a poem, for tuesday:

huckabee
will not be
romney's VP.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:33 (twelve years ago) link

lol

OH NOES, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:34 (twelve years ago) link

(Cain) said. “I’ve got a major speech tonight at Hillsdale College on national security and foreign policy, and I will deliver it with vim, vigor, and enthusiasm."

Aimless, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:34 (twelve years ago) link

of course he will.

hillsdale college will pack the hall with impressionable single ladies.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:36 (twelve years ago) link

a President Cain would at least make it clear that the prez don't run shit.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:37 (twelve years ago) link

(not that the current guy isnt making that point rather splendidly)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:38 (twelve years ago) link

Sure he does – he runs the legal department that hires the elves who write memos authorizing assassinations abroad, drone attacks, and other cool stuff.

Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:38 (twelve years ago) link

ALSO HE CALLED FOR THE CREATION OF A COFFEE MUG WITH HIS BIRTH-CERTIFICATE ACROSS THE BACK OF IT.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:39 (twelve years ago) link

visionary.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:40 (twelve years ago) link

maybe he meant he was counting on the drunk vote

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:50 (twelve years ago) link

Republican mash-up: "I’ve got a major speech tonight at Hillsdale College on national security and foreign policy, and I will deliver it with vim, vigor, and...vim, vigor, and...I'm sorry, I've forgotten."

clemenza, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 19:57 (twelve years ago) link

Is Perry really that dumb, or is he just a terrible public speaker?

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 20:29 (twelve years ago) link

yes

OH NOES, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 20:32 (twelve years ago) link

he just told a group of college students to vote for him if they're 21 before the election.

voting age is 18.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 20:37 (twelve years ago) link

shameful ignorance of the Constitution

mookieproof, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 20:39 (twelve years ago) link

I will deliver it with vim, vigor, and enthusiasm. No brio?! No pizzazz?! No zip?!

I am disappointed.

from FDR to Stevenson to JFK to Humphrey to Carter to Clinton to Bam

No love for Truman and LBJ?

M. White, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 20:43 (twelve years ago) link

"No pizzazz?!"

Joke writes itself for Herman.

clemenza, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 20:44 (twelve years ago) link

shameful ignorance of the Constitution

When the 26th amdmt passed he was 21

M. White, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 20:58 (twelve years ago) link

They do things differently in Texas.

Aimless, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:05 (twelve years ago) link

Texas: We do things differently

Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:11 (twelve years ago) link

Texas: Think different.

OH NOES, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:12 (twelve years ago) link

No love for Truman and LBJ?

did a favor by neglecting a pair of genocidal maniacs

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:12 (twelve years ago) link

wait I thought all presidents were genocidal maniacs

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:21 (twelve years ago) link

Mattie Van Buren wasn't.

Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:21 (twelve years ago) link

WHH?

OH NOES, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:23 (twelve years ago) link

It had to be said.

Aimless, Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:37 (twelve years ago) link

WHH?

predates his presidency but Battle of Tippecanoe, never forget

superb mario bothers (crüt) (step hen faps), Tuesday, 29 November 2011 22:43 (twelve years ago) link

ezraklein Ezra Klein -- RT @AndrewNBCNews: Just asked Cain if he had plans to leave race. Responded: "999, 999, we're doing fine."

literally -- literally -- saying 999! in response to everything.

herman cain: visionary.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 23:37 (twelve years ago) link

999! we're doing fine
999! all of the time
999! don't sweat the deets
999! leave it on repeat

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 23:38 (twelve years ago) link

maybe cain isn't quitting after all:

Having re-assessed whether his campaign should march on, Herman Cain emails this letter to his donor list. Above the text: A giant donation button.

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Dear Patriots and Supporters,

As you probably heard yesterday, a troubled Atlanta business woman used national media outlets to promulgate a fabricated, unsubstantiated story about a 13 year affair with me. I am writing you today to assure you that this woman’s story is completely false.

I do know Ms. White. I have helped her financially at times over the past few years, just as I have helped many friends and acquaintances throughout the years. I thought Ms. White was a friend in need of a supportive hand to better her life.

Ms. White has made it apparent that she was abusing the friendship.

But now I am asking for your friendship. I am also asking for your prayers and support. This is a trying time for my family, my campaign, and for me. It is also a trying time for our country as we are all distracted from the truly important issues facing our nation.

This evening I have an important speaking engagement at Hillsdale College in Hillsdale, Michigan, where I will be outlining my foreign policy and national security plan. While recent events have taken a toll on me, the people in the audience this evening will not know it. I will deliver my message with vigor and enthusiasm.

Let me assure you, I am not deterred. America’s future is too important. We will continue on this journey to make America great once again.

Thank you and God bless.

Sincerely,
Herman Cain

____________________________________

Worth noting that Fox 5 has Cain making 61 calls to Ginger White, the last of them in September in 2011. That's some friendship! Cain's decided on the "crazy lying woman trying to bring me down" defense, the one he employed, with mixed success, during the sexual harassment story.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 23:55 (twelve years ago) link

it's plain that those who say "cain can't remain" are insane.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 November 2011 23:56 (twelve years ago) link

Projecting far into the future, I'm trying to figure out if "61" will one day summon up images of Herman Cain and Ginger White for me, or if the number will continue to mean Roger Maris.

clemenza, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 01:58 (twelve years ago) link

if there was true serendipity, ginger white would have been the 999th woman to accuse cain of infidelity or harassment, and there would have been 999 calls logged on her cell phone from cain, and 999 text messages from cain. and he would still deny any wrongdoing -- 999 times.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 November 2011 02:04 (twelve years ago) link

999! 999! 999! 999! 999! 999! 999! 999!

999 are we out of our minds? 999 we're doing fine.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 November 2011 02:05 (twelve years ago) link

Wasn't Ginger White the one stranded on Gilligan's Island? She used to be so glamorous.

clemenza, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 02:06 (twelve years ago) link

obligatory joke about Cain's 6-9-9 plan

by (mennen), Wednesday, 30 November 2011 02:25 (twelve years ago) link

Why the base likes Newt.

Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 02:47 (twelve years ago) link

Like Barney Frank basically said the other day, it all seems too good to be true. So I try to remind myself that it probably is.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/284330/down-goes-willard-robert-costa

clemenza, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 02:52 (twelve years ago) link

Donate $5 to enter for a chance to grab a bite with Mitt. We don’t know when, where, or what the food will be – if it’s up to Mitt, it will probably be pizza. But this much is certain: one of you will get to meet Mitt and ask your questions. Donate today!

Matt Armstrong, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 05:47 (twelve years ago) link

Pizza -- why, he's just an average Joe!

Louis C.K. Williams (jaymc), Wednesday, 30 November 2011 05:49 (twelve years ago) link

Pizza -- why, he loves sexual harrassment!

Just to clarify, are you guys salivating over Newt because he's the most connected to teh evil Bush administration or will he provide the most giggles too?

big popppa hoy, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 06:03 (twelve years ago) link

Newt is every bit the comedic motherlode that Bachmann, Perry and Cain have been.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 06:29 (twelve years ago) link

With his controversial stance on illegal immigration, Newt has been making it clear that he hates to see families break up in times of crisis.

superb mario bothers (crüt) (step hen faps), Wednesday, 30 November 2011 06:36 (twelve years ago) link

lol

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 30 November 2011 06:52 (twelve years ago) link

i really hope there's another blast of bachmann this campaign. the whole thing, perry's ranch, everything cain, the agnosticism re: mitt, has really not disappointed, but her contributions - the HPV controversy, calling everyone socialists - have been kinda predictable, i feel like she needs to put her name to something insane before it wraps. i feel like marcus is a valuable but underexploited asset in this respect.

Never translate German (schlump), Wednesday, 30 November 2011 10:45 (twelve years ago) link


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