Liberal leadership post-mortem thread

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Did anyone foresee that happening?! And Dion won by a solid margin too. Anyway, he seems strong on federalism and the environment and has actual governing experience (and isn't Ignatieff), though he seems like he may have been close to the sponsorship scandal given that he was intergovtal affairs minister at the time.

sundarsubramanian (SundarS), Saturday, 2 December 2006 23:44 (seventeen years ago) link

In MTL Dion was the ONLY guy I saw people supporting in public places ie. train stations.

I don't know who I was rooting for because I still don't like the libs. Maybe Ken Dryden. HOCKEY PRIME MINISTER. Or something. I guess it's good for the Liberals though, to have a French name on the next ballot.

Will M. (Will M.), Saturday, 2 December 2006 23:50 (seventeen years ago) link

i called it! i'm so proud. i was stuffing envelopes with my NDP MLA(who is a political animal) on thursday night and we were all placing bets. i said Dion, and he(my MLA) didn't buy it, betting that either Ignatieff or Kennedy would take it. Dion had only one script for winning it, and it played out to a tee! i think that rae was their best shot at taking the next election, and was secretly hoping for ignatieff for the crazy-ego gong show that would result, but i'm happy with Dion - he's an honest guy, and i always love to see dilligence and integrity trump flash and pomp. further, Dion v. Harper v. Layton in a leader's debate is an absolute triumph for wonks across the nation. if there was any doubt that canada is a fundamentally geeky country, we refuted it today.

next up, the alberta Tory race. i'm rooting for Steady Eddie.

derrick (derrick), Sunday, 3 December 2006 01:52 (seventeen years ago) link

In MTL Dion was the ONLY guy I saw people supporting in public places ie. train stations.

OTM. I was calling Ignatieff vs Dion for weeks, since I visited Montreal (i've been in the UK for 2 years) and felt the Dion-buzz there. and in that kind of showdown, barring a Rae defection to Iggy's camp, there was no doubt Dion would take it.

i think it's good. I like Dion, think he's an intelligent and sincere guy, and think that the environment will be a trump card in the next election.

sean gramophone (sean gramophone), Sunday, 3 December 2006 11:51 (seventeen years ago) link

I was just reading a Sun article (online - I don't normally subscribe to Conservative newsletters) talking about how good for the Cons Dion's win was and going on about all his faults. Fucking ridiculous.

I was another person in the anyone but Iggy camp and I must say I'm glad about Dion. This may sound strange but he just seems like a sweet guy.

Apparently there were Conservative operatives at the Lib convention handing out anti-Rae buttons. They'd also "leaked" a fake document claiming they feared an Ignatieff victory the most to try to pull votes away from Rae. It's both funny and offensive - that the ruling party has nothing better to do than fuck with the opposition's convention - and then brag about it! If the same had happened to Harpo we'd probably still be hearing him bitch about it.

So what happens to the other leadership contenders now? I'll bet Kennedy runs in the next federal election and (assuming he wins) could be an important player in Dion's cabinet (assuming they win). Iggy will probably slink back south of the boarder. And Rae will most likely vanish from politics again - most like choosing a life of hermit-dom, earning his way playing banjo for dumbfounded citizens in remote train stations. Just a guess.

Thermo Thinwall (Thermo Thinwall), Sunday, 3 December 2006 19:35 (seventeen years ago) link

yeah - kennedy gets to run in the federal counterpart to his old provincial riding of parkdale-high park, which the NDP took last time. if he wins, see him act as dion's western lieutenant. rae goes... nowhere, really. ignatieff leaves the country. martha hall-findlay will get a good riding in toronto and will only rise in caucus/cabinet - she earned stripes and capital in this race. volpe will continue to sit as the MP for eglinton lawrence until 2020, but will never be in cabinet again. brison is mortally wounded - he gained nothing by running or by staying in to the convention.

derrick (derrick), Sunday, 3 December 2006 23:02 (seventeen years ago) link

ignatieff and rae say they're both still in. (i'll believe it when i see it, but i hope it's true.)

sean gramophone (sean gramophone), Monday, 4 December 2006 09:40 (seventeen years ago) link

where does rae run? i'm betting on either retirements (alan tonks?) or evictions (tom wappel?) before he takes on jack or olivia.

might kennedy run in manitoba? he's made a big deal about having been born there, and having grown up in edmonton.

derrick (derrick), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 10:23 (seventeen years ago) link

I'll bet Kennedy runs in the next federal election and (assuming he wins) could be an important player in Dion's cabinet (assuming they win).

Dion owes Kennedy bigtime for delivering almost all of his delegates on the third ballot.

I can't wait for the fur to fly during the federalism discussion during the next round of election debates. Particularly in the French debate.

A few weeks back, on real-ILX, I posted a link to a poll on the leadership candidates. IIRC, Dion had the best approval rating -- IOW, Ignatieff and Rae had their supporters but also had a lot of enemies. Dion was fairly well-liked across the board, he didn't really have a lot of enemies, which is a huge help when it comes to picking up support from delegates once their #1 candidate drops out.

though he seems like he may have been close to the sponsorship scandal given that he was intergovtal affairs minister at the time

The fact that this was virtually never mentioned during the whole campaign shows that fundamentally, nobody really gave a crap about the sponsorship scandal and that it was stupid for voters to "punish" the Libs by voting them out of govt in the first place.

No Time Before Time (Barry Barry), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 13:38 (seventeen years ago) link

I don't follow your logic, homefry. How does the Libs not giving a crap about the sponsorship ordeal make the voters (including me I guess) "stupid" for "punishing" the Liberals?

Thermo Thinwall (Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 16:08 (seventeen years ago) link

"nobody caring about the scandal" = the public, mainly. The Libs obviously cared, we had two elections that were basically referendums over whether to forgive them or not.

You'd think, given that Dion will very likely become the PM at some point, that there'd be a rash of editorials proclaiming "How can we trust the Libs if they elect a leader with possible ties to the scandal? They haven't learned their lesson!" (i.e. the whole point of the January election was to teach the Libs a lesson, right?). However, this never seemed to be an issue and now everyone is giving big ups to Dion.

My stance has always been that the Libs screwed up badly and mismanaged our money, but despite this, were still the best party for running the country. Punishing a party just for the sake of punishing them or using directionless reasoning a la "it's been 13 years, so it's time for a change for the sake of having a change" is the type of stupid thought that brought us PM Stephen Harper.

(I know that YOU didn't vote him, I'm talking about the general voting populace)

No Time Before Time (Barry Barry), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 17:00 (seventeen years ago) link

No, I did not - but at the same time was saying he (ie another party) being in power would be good for the country. AND I don't think the idea that a brief (lets hope) change in the upper echelons of power is "directionless reasoning". 13 years the Liberals were in power and it may sounds cliched at his point, thanks to Harper, but I do think they were getting arrogant, as a party. They signed us up for Kyoto and proceeded to do almost nothing beyond that for the environment. That being one example of many, imho, where they were just getting lazy, policy wise.

I don't think it was at all flawed logic in the slightest that a change of the guard would be a healthy thing for our nation. Although I was more of a proponent of that idea when I thought Harper would keep at least some of his promises that weren't based on hating teh fags!

Thermo Thinwall (Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 17:28 (seventeen years ago) link

The Cretien Liberals might have been getting arrogant, but Martin almost completely turned over the cabinet when he came into power. We'll never know how that new bunch might have fared in the long run because of the scandal and the two elections. I think letting those guys govern would have been a better option than electing Harper!

I see what you're saying -- in the long run, change can be better because the opposition freshens up their approach and makes changes that they wouldn't have been compelled to make otherwise. I'm just not sure that it's worth suffering through a crap government to produce those results ... isn't that how the Harris Conservatives were swept into power?

No Time Before Time (Barry Barry), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 18:40 (seventeen years ago) link

Like Thermo, I'd also assumed that a Tory (Do we still call them that now that they're not Progressive anymore?) minority would just more or less administer things efficiently for 2 years without rocking the boat with anything too far right. I've started second-guessing myself. (NB I voted NDP of course.) I did give a crap about the sponsorship scandal FWIW.

(I actually think that many Ontarians supported Harris' "Common Sense Revolution" at the time though.)

sundarsubramanian (SundarS), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 19:34 (seventeen years ago) link

Ya - Harris was more about Ontario being in the fiscal shitter than anything else.

Thermo Thinwall (Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 5 December 2006 20:57 (seventeen years ago) link

... as opposed to when the Harris govt left office?

Again, it's all about who can govern most competently! When one party screws up, it doesn't mean that the other parties won't screw it up even worse!

No Time Before Time (Barry Barry), Wednesday, 6 December 2006 08:33 (seventeen years ago) link

So your point is there was no reason to vote out the Ontario Tories? ;p

Thermo Thinwall (Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 6 December 2006 15:15 (seventeen years ago) link


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